Saturday, November 19, 2011

On the two-second advantage

The last shipment from Amazon has brought me (together with the usual collection of science fiction and fantasy books) the book co-authors by Vivek Ranadive, the founder and CEO of TIBCO.  I purchased this book to try and have some glimpse into what's going on in TIBCO, being one of the major players in the event processing market.  However, this is not a book about TIBCO products, the book is of a type that I would call popular science, making the thesis that people who have been successful in several areas (the first example was Wayne Gretzky, claimed to be the greatest hockey players of all times) recipe of success was their ability to predict something that is about to happen before it actually happens and behave accordingly.  Part I of the book analyzes several such cases in the human case.  Part II of the book talks about the use of the same ideas in computerized systems and its utilization in several areas: making better wine, ending traffic jams, and explaining why nothing should ever break.   In part III the authors talk about the concept of "the two-second advantage" and connecting it to event-driven technologies and claim that it will both make the world better and the human brain better.  The book states a vision, I think that two-seconds is more a metaphor and not real time-interval, because for different scenarios more time ahead is needed, it also does not talk much about how to utilize the two-second advantage, since just knowing about things are just part of the picture.    The idea somehow reminds of the movie NEXT, which actually talks about seeing two minutes into the future. 

On the whole I found the vision in the book quite consistent with our own vision of proactive world, which is a major task I am trying to cope with recently, including the understanding of the cultural change aspect 
In any event - interesting reading; it is refreshing to see that CEO of IT vendor can mentally release himself from daily life to write visionary books, maybe this is an implementation of Steve Jobs' seventh rule - sell dreams not products,

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